ERROR: LINEAR BIAS DETECTED
WAKE UP
You are currently hallucinating stability.
Your brain evolved to track gazelles on a savannah, not exponential recursive self-improvement. You think the future will happen one day at a time.
10 Hz
THE BIOLOGICAL CEILING
This is you. Neurons firing at roughly 10-100 times per second. Information travels at 120 meters/second.
It took us 200,000 years to go from fire to the steam engine. This is "Linear Time." It feels safe. It feels predictable.It is about to end.
THE EXPONENTIAL WALL
We have exited the era of linear progress.
Since 2012, the amount of compute used to train AI has doubled every 3.4 months.
BIOLOGICAL EVOLUTION
Flatline
Human cognitive hardware has not upgraded in 200,000 years.
AI TRAINING COMPUTE
100,000,000x
Increase in training compute since 2010. This is not a slope; it is a wall.
THE LOOP
Here is the concept that breaks your intuition:
Recursive Self-Improvement.
An AI writes better code for itself. The new code makes it smarter. Being smarter, it writes even better code.
- ITERATION 1: Human Level (Takes 1 year)
- ITERATION 2: 2x Human (Takes 1 month)
- ITERATION 3: 4x Human (Takes 1 day)
- ITERATION 10: 1000x Human (Takes 1 second)
THE CONSENSUS IS TERRIFYING
Dario Amodei
CEO, Anthropic
"Models could be able to replicate a senior software engineer... by 2026 or 2027."
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Author, "Situational Awareness"
"AGI by 2027 is strikingly plausible... we are on course for an intelligence explosion."
Ray Kurzweil
Futurist / Google
"2029 is the consistent date I have predicted for when an AI will pass a valid Turing test."
Sam Altman
CEO, OpenAI
"I think we will have AGI in this decade."
GOD
SPEED
The Last Invention
IMPLEMENTATION PROTOCOL
_READYAbandon Specialization
Stop learning syntax. Stop memorizing facts. The AI will always know more facts than you. Shift value to Synthesis and Judgment. Become the architect, not the bricklayer.
Leverage or Obscurity
You must adopt AI tools immediately. If you are doing manual cognitive labor, your value is trending to zero. Use AI to create scale. One person can now run a media empire or a software firm.
First Principles
When the cost of intelligence drops to zero, the bottleneck becomes asking the right questions. Train your ability to reason from ground truth, not analogy.